American Experts Predict 800 Million Indian People Might Be Infected With Coronavirus

Bhavna Acharya |Mar 24, 2020

Some leading experts also doubted that the public transmission might occur a few weeks ago but the government was unaware of it!

According to the study of Dr. Ramanan Laxminarayan, director of the US-based Centre for Disease Dynamics, Economics and Policy, if the scenario of coronavirus in India is similar to Iran or Italy, there will be 60% of the population (800 million people) will be infected with the coronavirus. If the transmission rate is equal to other countries, it might reach the 20% mark (300 million people). 

India Coronavirus
Coronavirus in India: Leading expert warns India might face up with a health apocalypse

The leading expert also stated that India is in the same situation to the UK and the US as the government has taken cautions and set up crucial protection against the crisis. 

Also read: Lockdown States In India: Where, When And What Is Shut?

Pressure toward health care system

However, it will be more challenging for India where 1,35 billion people are packed inside crowded cities with overloaded public transportation and barely aware of social distancing. Imagine having 300 million patients at the same time? Such an unbelievable pressure that our health care system cannot shoulder.

Apart from being a leading health expert, Dr. Ramanan Laxminarayan is also an advisor of WHO and WB and works as a professor at Princeton University. At the moment, he is working with New Delhi and giving advice on the country’s matter. 

According to the expert, there was a possibility that ‘public transmission’ had occurred in India a few weeks ago but the country is unaware of it because there are on average 22,000 deaths in the country each day. If we have 1000 more cases due to coronavirus, our system is unable to detect.

India Coronavirus 3
Coronavirus public transmission could have happened in India but the government was unaware of it

Also read: 6 Foods To Prevent Coronavirus According To Ayurveda

The real number of positive cases might be higher

By Tuesday, March 24, the number of confirmed cases in India is 492with 9 deaths. However, some leading health experts supposed that the real number of people infected with coronavirus in India could be much higher as we’re incapable of widespread coronavirus testing.

Meanwhile, more and more cities including Mumbai, Delhi, Chennai, Hyderabad have been put under lockdown; the railway network is suspended; schools, gyms, theaters are closed until the end of March. In addition to that, the government advises people to stay at home as much as possible. Last Sunday, hundreds million of citizens practiced a 14-hour-curfew so-called “Janta Curfew’ in order to minimize the spread of coronavirus.

Watch video of people paying tribute to those who are fighting against coronavirus in India

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